● closed ● open ━━ tendencia ponderada
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t(x) = Σ(intel³) / Σ(intel²) — ventana ±8%, peso = intel², frontier domina
AGI Countdown
Average estimate across Metaculus forecasts and community predictions
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years
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days
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hours
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minutes
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seconds
until estimated AGI arrival
Based on the average of Metaculus community forecasts (Weak AGI ~Mar 2028, Full AGI ~2032) and estimates from similar countdown/forecast projects.
⚠ Disclaimer: All of these pages are made by independent individuals or small groups, using speculative methods and subjective estimates. Their predictions may be inaccurate and should not be taken as reliable forecasts. Any of these sites may stop working or be taken down at any time.
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